Tournament

2026 FIFA World Cup

Implied probabilities derived from FIFA rank · placeholder model.

48
Countries
12
Groups
16
Venues
32
Days to kickoff

Tournament winner

Who wins the 2026 World Cup?

Top 12 · implied probability
Spain#1
13.6%
Argentina#2
8.4%
France#3
6.3%
England#4
5.1%
Brazil#5
4.4%
Portugal#6
3.9%
Netherlands#7
3.5%
Belgium#8
3.2%
Germany#9
2.9%
Croatia#10
2.7%
Morocco#11
2.5%
United States ★#14
2.5%
Probabilities from a placeholder model: softmax over rank-0.7 with a small host bonus. Read more.

Group markets

UEFACONMEBOLCONCACAFAFCCAFOFC★ host nation
Group AWho wins?
Mexico ★#15
44.5%
South Korea#22
29.3%
South Africa#61
14.3%
Czech Republic—
11.9%
Group BWho wins?
Switzerland#17
37.8%
Canada ★#27
31.8%
Qatar#51
17.5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina—
12.8%
Group CWho wins?
Brazil#5
50.9%
Morocco#11
29.3%
Scotland#36
12.8%
Haiti#84
7.1%
Group DWho wins?
United States ★#14
44.8%
Australia#26
25.0%
Paraguay#39
18.8%
Turkey—
11.4%
Group EWho wins?
Germany#9
48.3%
Ecuador#23
25.0%
Ivory Coast#42
16.4%
Curaçao#82
10.3%
Group FWho wins?
Netherlands#7
50.2%
Japan#18
25.9%
Tunisia#40
14.8%
Sweden—
9.1%
Group GWho wins?
Belgium#8
48.1%
Iran#20
25.3%
Egypt#34
17.5%
New Zealand#86
9.1%
Group HWho wins?
Spain#1
79.8%
Uruguay#16
11.5%
Saudi Arabia#60
4.5%
Cape Verde#68
4.2%
Group IWho wins?
France#3
63.3%
Senegal#19
17.4%
Norway#29
12.9%
Iraq—
6.4%
Group JWho wins?
Argentina#2
71.6%
Austria#24
12.6%
Algeria#35
9.7%
Jordan#66
6.2%
Group KWho wins?
Portugal#6
50.7%
Colombia#13
29.5%
Uzbekistan#50
11.5%
DR Congo—
8.3%
Group LWho wins?
England#4
52.6%
Croatia#10
27.7%
Panama#30
12.8%
Ghana#72
6.9%

Confederation breakdown

Qualified teams by confederation

16
UEFA
10
CAF
9
AFC
6
CONCACAF
6
CONMEBOL
1
OFC

Group strength

FIFA rank distribution per group (lower = stronger; dashed line = group average)

120406080100ABCDEFGHIJKLGroupFIFA rankMexicoSouth KoreaSouth AfricaSwitzerlandCanadaQatarBrazilMoroccoScotlandHaitiUnited StatesAustraliaParaguayGermanyEcuadorIvory CoastCuraçaoNetherlandsJapanTunisiaBelgiumIranEgyptNew ZealandSpainUruguaySaudi ArabiaCape VerdeFranceSenegalNorwayArgentinaAustriaAlgeriaJordanPortugalColombiaUzbekistanEnglandCroatiaPanamaGhana

Venues

StadiumCityCountryCapacity
AT&T StadiumDallasUSA94,000
Estadio AztecaMexico CityMEX83,000
MetLife StadiumNew York/New JerseyUSA82,500
Mercedes-Benz StadiumAtlantaUSA75,000
Arrowhead StadiumKansas CityUSA73,000
NRG StadiumHoustonUSA72,000
Levi's StadiumSan Francisco Bay AreaUSA71,000
SoFi StadiumLos AngelesUSA70,000
Lincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphiaUSA69,000
Lumen FieldSeattleUSA69,000
Gillette StadiumBostonUSA65,000
Hard Rock StadiumMiamiUSA65,000
BC PlaceVancouverCAN54,000
Estadio BBVAMonterreyMEX53,500
Estadio AkronGuadalajaraMEX48,000
BMO FieldTorontoCAN45,000

Venues by seating capacity (USA blue · MEX red · CAN green)

AT&T Stadium (USA)
94,000
Estadio Azteca (MEX)
83,000
MetLife Stadium (USA)
82,500
Mercedes-Benz Stadium (USA)
75,000
Arrowhead Stadium (USA)
73,000
NRG Stadium (USA)
72,000
Levi's Stadium (USA)
71,000
SoFi Stadium (USA)
70,000
Lincoln Financial Field (USA)
69,000
Lumen Field (USA)
69,000
Gillette Stadium (USA)
65,000
Hard Rock Stadium (USA)
65,000
BC Place (CAN)
54,000
Estadio BBVA (MEX)
53,500
Estadio Akron (MEX)
48,000
BMO Field (CAN)
45,000