Forecast vs result · Group B · Matchday 2

Bosnia and Herzegovina vs Switzerland

2026-06-18

The recap publishes at full time. Once this match finishes, this page shows how the frozen pre-match forecast below scored against the realised outcome: Brier score, log loss, and final xG vs predicted xG. Until then, follow it live on the live tracker.

Pre-match forecast

Bosnia and Herzegovina win
6.6%
Draw
22.5%
Switzerland win
70.9%
Bosnia and Herzegovina
0.63
expected
goals
Switzerland
1.83

Video analysis: player performance

Per-player ratings and event breakdowns from official highlights analysis. Tap a player to see their full match timeline.

Bosnia and Herzegovina
Switzerland
7
Steven Zuber

Zuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

Match observations

  • The match began with an electric atmosphere, with both sets of supporters creating a vibrant backdrop.
  • Switzerland demonstrated composure in possession, building attacks from midfield.
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina adopted a compact defensive approach, showing discipline to limit clear opportunities for Switzerland.

How to read this. A single match's Brier and log-loss are noisy. What matters is how the forecast calibrates across many matches. This per-fixture recap is one row of the aggregate calibration scoreboard at /docs/calibration/. The pre-match probability shown here is the one frozen before kickoff; it was never re-priced during play.