공개적으로 측정

18 Jun 2026

아래 모든 확률은 킥오프 전에 공개되고 확정되었습니다. 이 페이지는 각 확률을 실제 결과와 비교해 채점합니다.

4경기 중 4경기 채점 완료
2
정확히 맞춤
높은 확신, 정확한 결과
1
탁월한 판단
실제 결과에 가장 높은 확률을 부여
1
예상대로
결과가 범위 안에 있었음
0
의외의 결과
모델이 예상하지 못한 결과

일별 평균: Strong read

  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    10
    • Mexico · 실현45.3%
    • 무승부27.4%
    • South Korea27.3%
    판정
    Strong read

    Mexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.
    7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.
    South Korea
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    11
    • South Africa16.6%
    • 무승부 · 실현24.7%
    • Czech Republic58.7%
    판정
    Within expectations

    South Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Africa
    9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.
    8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.
    Czech Republic
    7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.
    6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks.
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    60
    • Canada · 실현67.4%
    • 무승부22.3%
    • Qatar10.3%
    판정
    Nailed it

    Canada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.
    8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.
    8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.
    Qatar
    2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match.
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    14
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
    • 무승부21.8%
    • Switzerland · 실현68.9%
    판정
    Nailed it

    Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장보다 우세결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Switzerland
    7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

See how the forecast holds up

OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.

Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.

Model report card — 18 Jun 2026 · onthepitch