Medido en público

18 Jun 2026

Cada probabilidad de abajo se publicó antes del inicio y quedó fijada. Esta página califica cada una frente a lo que realmente ocurrió.

4 de 4 partidos calificados
2
Clavado
Alta confianza, resultado correcto
1
Buena lectura
Dio la mayor probabilidad a lo que ocurrió
1
Esperado
El resultado estuvo dentro del rango
0
Sorpresa
El modelo no vio venir esto

Promedio del día: Strong read

  • CalificadoFijado 10 Jun
    10
    • Mexico · ocurrido45.3%
    • Empate27.4%
    • South Korea27.3%
    Veredicto
    Strong read

    Mexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Los mercados dieron más probabilidad al resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.
    7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.
    South Korea
  • CalificadoFijado 10 Jun
    11
    • South Africa16.6%
    • Empate · ocurrido24.7%
    • Czech Republic58.7%
    Veredicto
    Within expectations

    South Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Los mercados dieron más probabilidad al resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Africa
    9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.
    8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.
    Czech Republic
    7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.
    6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks.
  • CalificadoFijado 10 Jun
    60
    • Canada · ocurrido67.4%
    • Empate22.3%
    • Qatar10.3%
    Veredicto
    Nailed it

    Canada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Los mercados dieron más probabilidad al resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.
    8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.
    8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.
    Qatar
    2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match.
  • CalificadoFijado 10 Jun
    14
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
    • Empate21.8%
    • Switzerland · ocurrido68.9%
    Veredicto
    Nailed it

    Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Supera a los mercadosDio más probabilidad al resultado

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Switzerland
    7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

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Model report card — 18 Jun 2026 · onthepitch