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17 Jun 2026

아래 모든 확률은 킥오프 전에 공개되고 확정되었습니다. 이 페이지는 각 확률을 실제 결과와 비교해 채점합니다.

4경기 중 4경기 채점 완료
1
정확히 맞춤
높은 확신, 정확한 결과
1
탁월한 판단
실제 결과에 가장 높은 확률을 부여
1
예상대로
결과가 범위 안에 있었음
1
의외의 결과
모델이 예상하지 못한 결과

일별 평균: Within expectations

  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    11
    • Portugal75.1%
    • 무승부 · 실현19.3%
    • DR Congo5.6%
    판정
    Surprise result

    Portugal 1–1 DR Congo was an outcome the model rated at 19.3% (19.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 1.220, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장보다 우세결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Read: what the model missed →

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Portugal
    8João NevesCMScored the opening goal for Portugal with a well-placed header, providing an early lead.
    7Nuno MendesLBMade a dangerous attacking run and had a shot on target, showing good offensive contribution from defense.
    7ConceiçãoRWProvided a good pass that created a clear scoring opportunity for Ronaldo.
    DR Congo
    8WissaSTScored the crucial equalizer for Congo DR just before half-time and showed attacking threat with another shot.
    7BakambuSTCreated a significant chance by hitting the post, demonstrating his attacking threat.
    5MbembaCBReceived a yellow card for a foul, impacting his defensive rating.
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    13
    • Uzbekistan9.5%
    • 무승부23.2%
    • Colombia · 실현67.4%
    판정
    Nailed it

    Uzbekistan 1–3 Colombia was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.169, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Uzbekistan
    7Utkir YusupovGKDespite conceding three goals, he made several crucial saves that kept Uzbekistan in the game for extended periods.
    Colombia
    9Luis DíazLWDelivered a man-of-the-match performance, constantly threatening the opposition goal and scoring a crucial goal.
    8Daniel MuñozRBScored a crucial opening goal with a well-taken volley, demonstrating excellent attacking instincts from his defensive role.
    7Jaminton CampazSTMade an immediate impact by scoring a late goal to seal the victory after coming on as a substitute.
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    42
    • England · 실현50.4%
    • 무승부26.1%
    • Croatia23.5%
    판정
    Strong read

    England 4–2 Croatia was the outcome the model rated most likely (50.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.370, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    England
    8Harry KaneSTScored two crucial goals, including a penalty and a header, demonstrating his clinical finishing.
    7Jude BellinghamCMScored England's third goal early in the second half, putting them ahead for good.
    7Marcus RashfordLWScored England's fourth goal, extending their lead and securing the victory.
    Croatia
    7BaturinaCMScored Croatia's first equalizer with a powerful and well-struck shot.
    7MusaSTScored Croatia's second equalizer just before half-time, keeping his team in the game.
    7Dominik LivakovicGKMade several crucial saves, including a penalty stop and a double save, despite his team conceding four goals.
  • 채점 완료10 Jun 확정
    10
    • Ghana · 실현27.5%
    • 무승부27.9%
    • Panama44.6%
    판정
    Within expectations

    Ghana 1–0 Panama was an outcome the model rated at 27.5% (27.5% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.801, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    시장이 결과에 더 높은 확률을 부여

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Ghana
    9Lawrence Ati-ZigiGKHis numerous crucial saves throughout the match, especially early on and at the very end, were instrumental in securing the clean sheet and the victory for Ghana.
    8Antoine SemenyoSTSemenyo scored the decisive late goal with a composed finish after a good dribble, proving to be Ghana's key attacking threat.
    7Jordan AyewSTAyew provided an attacking presence for Ghana, having a shot on target and showing good predatory instincts in the box.
    Panama
    6Cristian MartínezCMMartínez was a persistent attacking threat for Panama, creating several chances and having multiple shots, but ultimately lacked the precision to convert.
    5Jiovany RamosCBRamos had a moment of individual attacking endeavor with a shot from outside the box, but it failed to hit the target.
    5Ismael DíazSTDíaz had a final effort on target in injury time that was saved, almost snatching a late equalizer for Panama.

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Model report card — 17 Jun 2026 · onthepitch