公開の場で検証

18 Jun 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

4試合中4試合を採点済み
2
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
1
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
1
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Strong read

  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    10
    • Mexico · 実現45.3%
    • 引き分け27.4%
    • South Korea27.3%
    判定
    Strong read

    Mexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場が結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.
    7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.
    South Korea
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    11
    • South Africa16.6%
    • 引き分け · 実現24.7%
    • Czech Republic58.7%
    判定
    Within expectations

    South Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場が結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Africa
    9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.
    8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.
    Czech Republic
    7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.
    6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    60
    • Canada · 実現67.4%
    • 引き分け22.3%
    • Qatar10.3%
    判定
    Nailed it

    Canada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場が結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.
    8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.
    8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.
    Qatar
    2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match.
  • 採点済み10 Junに確定
    14
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
    • 引き分け21.8%
    • Switzerland · 実現68.9%
    判定
    Nailed it

    Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市場を上回る結果により高い確率を与えた

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Switzerland
    7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

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Model report card — 18 Jun 2026 · onthepitch