Mesuré en public
18 Jun 2026
Chaque probabilité ci-dessous a été publiée avant le coup d'envoi et verrouillée. Cette page note chacune d'elles par rapport à ce qui s'est réellement passé.
Moyenne du jour : Strong read
- NotésVerrouillé 10 Jun1 – 0
- Mexico · réalisé45.3%
- Match nul27.4%
- South Korea27.3%
VerdictStrong readMexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Les marchés ont donné plus de probabilité au résultat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Mexico9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.South Korea - NotésVerrouillé 10 Jun1 – 1
- South Africa16.6%
- Match nul · réalisé24.7%
- Czech Republic58.7%
VerdictWithin expectationsSouth Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Les marchés ont donné plus de probabilité au résultat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
South Africa9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.Czech Republic7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks. - 6 – 0
- Canada · réalisé67.4%
- Match nul22.3%
- Qatar10.3%
VerdictNailed itCanada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Les marchés ont donné plus de probabilité au résultat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Canada9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.Qatar2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match. - NotésVerrouillé 10 Jun1 – 4
- Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
- Match nul21.8%
- Switzerland · réalisé68.9%
VerdictNailed itBosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Bat les marchésA donné plus de probabilité au résultat
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Bosnia and HerzegovinaSwitzerland7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.
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