Herkesin gözü önünde ölçüldü

18 Jun 2026

Aşağıdaki her olasılık başlama vuruşundan önce yayınlandı ve kilitlendi. Bu sayfa her birini gerçekte ne olduğuna göre puanlar.

4 maçtan 4 tanesi puanlandı
2
Tam isabet
Yüksek güven, doğru sonuç
1
Güçlü okuma
Gerçekleşene en yüksek olasılığı verdi
1
Beklenen
Sonuç aralık içindeydi
0
Sürpriz
Model bunu öngöremedi

Gün ortalaması: Strong read

  • Puanlandı10 Jun tarihinde kilitlendi
    10
    • Mexico · gerçekleşti45.3%
    • Beraberlik27.4%
    • South Korea27.3%
    Karar
    Strong read

    Mexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Piyasalar sonuca daha yüksek olasılık verdi

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.
    7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.
    South Korea
  • Puanlandı10 Jun tarihinde kilitlendi
    11
    • South Africa16.6%
    • Beraberlik · gerçekleşti24.7%
    • Czech Republic58.7%
    Karar
    Within expectations

    South Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Piyasalar sonuca daha yüksek olasılık verdi

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Africa
    9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.
    8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.
    Czech Republic
    7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.
    6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks.
  • Puanlandı10 Jun tarihinde kilitlendi
    60
    • Canada · gerçekleşti67.4%
    • Beraberlik22.3%
    • Qatar10.3%
    Karar
    Nailed it

    Canada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Piyasalar sonuca daha yüksek olasılık verdi

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.
    8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.
    8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.
    Qatar
    2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match.
  • Puanlandı10 Jun tarihinde kilitlendi
    14
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
    • Beraberlik21.8%
    • Switzerland · gerçekleşti68.9%
    Karar
    Nailed it

    Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Piyasaları geçiyorSonuca daha yüksek olasılık verdi

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Switzerland
    7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

See how the forecast holds up

OnThePitch grades every probability against what actually happens, and publishes the calibration in the open. Subscribe to follow the retrospectives and research as they ship — one email per post, no marketing.

Already read on Substack? Follow OnThePitch there — same posts, slightly different format.

Model report card — 18 Jun 2026 · onthepitch