Daily report card

18 Jun 2026

These matches haven't kicked off yet. Each row grades itself once its match reaches full time.

Matches graded
0 / 4
Mean Brier score
—
Lower is better
0 = perfect foresight; 0.667 = always saying one-third each.
Full tournament report cardCalibration scoreboard

How to read this. Graded rows quote the probability published before kickoff next to the realised result, with that match's Brier score (lower is better). Single-match scores are noisy; the tournament mean on the full report card is the honest measure. Methodology at /docs/calibration/. Research output, not betting advice.