公开检验

18 Jun 2026

下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。

已评分 4/4 场
2
精准命中
高置信度,结果正确
1
判断有力
对实际结果赋予了最高概率
1
符合预期
结果在预测范围之内
0
意外
模型未能预见到这一点

当日均值: Strong read

  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    10
    • Mexico · 实际45.3%
    • 平局27.4%
    • South Korea27.3%
    结论
    Strong read

    Mexico 1–0 South Korea was the outcome the model rated most likely (45.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.448, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Mexico
    9Santiago GiménezSTScored both of Mexico's goals with clinical finishing and excellent movement in the penalty area.
    7Érick SánchezCMContributed significantly to Mexico's early control of the game through active participation in possession and dribbling.
    South Korea
  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    11
    • South Africa16.6%
    • 平局 · 实际24.7%
    • Czech Republic58.7%
    结论
    Within expectations

    South Africa 1–1 Czech Republic was an outcome the model rated at 24.7% (24.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.938, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    South Africa
    9Itumeleng KhuneGKMade multiple crucial saves throughout the match, keeping his team in the game and preserving the lead.
    8Lyle FosterSTScored the crucial opening goal with clinical finishing, giving his team the lead.
    Czech Republic
    7Patrik SchickSTShowed good aerial presence and was involved in several attacking movements, despite being unable to convert his chances.
    6Lukáš SadílekCMEngaged in midfield duels and attempted to distribute the ball to initiate attacks.
  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    60
    • Canada · 实际67.4%
    • 平局22.3%
    • Qatar10.3%
    结论
    Nailed it

    Canada 6–0 Qatar was the outcome the model rated most likely (67.4% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.167, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Canada
    9Jonathan DavidSTScored two goals with clinical finishing and intelligent movement, significantly contributing to Canada's dominant victory.
    8Cyle LarinSTScored the opening goal and was involved in another, demonstrating strong attacking instincts and predatory finishing.
    8Tajon BuchananAMScored a goal and his decisive run directly led to a red card for the opposition, significantly impacting the match.
    Qatar
    2Homam AhmedCBReceived a red card for a foul, which severely hampered Qatar's defensive efforts and morale for the majority of the match.
  • 已评分锁定于 10 Jun
    14
    • Bosnia and Herzegovina9.3%
    • 平局21.8%
    • Switzerland · 实际68.9%
    结论
    Nailed it

    Bosnia and Herzegovina 1–4 Switzerland was the outcome the model rated most likely (68.9% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.153, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    胜过市场对结果赋予了更高的概率

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Bosnia and Herzegovina
    Switzerland
    7Steven ZuberLW/RWZuber was an energetic presence on the wing, actively involved in both attacking movements and defensive pressing for Switzerland.

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Model report card — 18 Jun 2026 · onthepitch