Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
United States vs Australia
2026 FIFA World Cup·Group D·Head-to-head
Snapshot · 2026-05-28
All-time head-to-head
- Meetings
- 4
- United States W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Last meeting
- 2025 — Win (2–1)
All-time record from United States's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.
Model forecast
The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →
Frequently asked
- What is the head-to-head record between United States and Australia?
- United States and Australia have met 4 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 win (2–1) at the Friendly.
- What does the model predict for United States vs Australia?
- OnThePitch's model rates United States at 31% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 41% for Australia.
- When do United States and Australia play at the 2026 World Cup?
- They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.