Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Australia vs Turkey

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group D·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
2
Australia W-D-L
0-0-2
Last meeting
2004Loss (01)

All-time record from Australia's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

Draw
26.0%
38.6%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Australia and Turkey?
Australia and Turkey have met 2 times. From Australia's perspective the all-time record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2004 loss (0–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Australia vs Turkey?
OnThePitch's model rates Australia at 35% to win, with a 26% chance of a draw and 39% for Turkey.
When do Australia and Turkey play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group D matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.