United States vs Australia

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group D·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
5
United States W-D-L
3-1-1
Last meeting
2026 : Win (20)
All-time goals
73
United States's biggest win
20 (2026)

All-time record from United States's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
19 Jun 2026FIFA World CupHSeattle20W
14 Oct 2025FriendlyHDenver21W
5 Jun 2010FriendlyNRoodepoort31W
6 Nov 1998FriendlyHSan Jose00D
13 Jun 1992FriendlyHOrlando01L

United States vs Australia, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesWWLWL
  • 2026-06-19 · Australia20
  • 2026-06-12 · Paraguay41
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
AustraliaLWDLW
  • 2026-06-19 · United States02
  • 2026-06-13 · Turkey20
  • 2026-06-06 · Switzerland11
  • 2026-05-30 · Mexico01
  • 2026-03-31 · Curaçao51

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesAustralia
#10 of 16Average match rating#6 of 18
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#3 of 18
#11 of 16Big chances#2 of 27
#5 of 16Shots on target#6 of 18
#12 of 16Possession#9 of 18
#13 of 16Passing#4 of 18
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#2 of 18

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Australia: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Australia?
United States and Australia have met 5 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2026 win (2–0) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for United States vs Australia?
OnThePitch's model makes Australia the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do United States and Australia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group D matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.