Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Sweden vs Tunisia

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group F·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
4
Sweden W-D-L
2-1-1
Last meeting
2003Loss (01)

All-time record from Sweden's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

42.4%
Draw
28.1%
29.5%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Sweden and Tunisia?
Sweden and Tunisia have met 4 times. From Sweden's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2003 loss (0–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Sweden vs Tunisia?
OnThePitch's model rates Sweden at 42% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 29% for Tunisia.
When do Sweden and Tunisia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group F. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group F matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.