Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Netherlands vs Sweden

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group F·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
25
Netherlands W-D-L
12-5-8
Last meeting
2017Win (20)

All-time record from Netherlands's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

Draw
23.6%
17.5%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Netherlands and Sweden?
Netherlands and Sweden have met 25 times. From Netherlands's perspective the all-time record is 12 wins, 5 draws and 8 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2017 win (2–0) at the FIFA World Cup qualification.
What does the model predict for Netherlands vs Sweden?
OnThePitch's model rates Netherlands at 59% to win, with a 24% chance of a draw and 17% for Sweden.
When do Netherlands and Sweden play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group F. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group F matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.