Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Japan vs Tunisia

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group F·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
5
Japan W-D-L
4-0-1
Last meeting
2022Loss (03)

All-time record from Japan's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

54.6%
Draw
27.7%
17.7%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Japan and Tunisia?
Japan and Tunisia have met 5 times. From Japan's perspective the all-time record is 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2022 loss (0–3) at the Kirin Cup.
What does the model predict for Japan vs Tunisia?
OnThePitch's model rates Japan at 55% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 18% for Tunisia.
When do Japan and Tunisia play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group F. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group F matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.