Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Netherlands vs Japan

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group F·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
3
Netherlands W-D-L
2-1-0
Last meeting
2013Draw (22)

All-time record from Netherlands's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

Draw
25.0%
30.3%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Netherlands and Japan?
Netherlands and Japan have met 3 times. From Netherlands's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2013 draw (2–2) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Netherlands vs Japan?
OnThePitch's model rates Netherlands at 45% to win, with a 25% chance of a draw and 30% for Japan.
When do Netherlands and Japan play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group F. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group F matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.