United States vs Paraguay

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group D·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
10
United States W-D-L
6-2-2
Last meeting
2026 : Win (41)
All-time goals
168
United States's biggest win
41 (2026)

All-time record from United States's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
12 Jun 2026FIFA World CupHInglewood41W
15 Nov 2025FriendlyHChester21W
27 Mar 2018FriendlyHCary10W
11 Jun 2016Copa AméricaHPhiladelphia10W
29 Mar 2011FriendlyHNashville01L
2 Jul 2007Copa AméricaNBarinas13L
6 Jul 2003FriendlyHColumbus20W
14 Mar 1998FriendlyHSan Diego22D
4 Jun 1997FriendlyHSt. Louis00D
17 Jul 1930FIFA World CupNMontevideo30W

United States vs Paraguay, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from United States's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

United StatesWWLWL
  • 2026-06-19 · Australia20
  • 2026-06-12 · Paraguay41
  • 2026-06-06 · Germany12
  • 2026-05-31 · Senegal32
  • 2026-03-31 · Portugal02
ParaguayWLWLW
  • 2026-06-19 · Turkey10
  • 2026-06-12 · United States14
  • 2026-06-05 · Nicaragua40
  • 2026-03-31 · Morocco12
  • 2026-03-27 · Greece10

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

United StatesParaguay
#10 of 16Average match rating#6 of 10
#8 of 14Goals scored / match#7 of 10
#9 of 16Expected goals#10 of 10
#11 of 16Big chances#7 of 10
#5 of 16Shots on target#7 of 10
#12 of 16Possession#10 of 10
#13 of 16Passing#10 of 10
#8 of 16Goals conceded / match#2 of 10

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — United States: Copa America 2024; Paraguay: World Cup Qualification CONMEBOL 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between United States and Paraguay?
United States and Paraguay have met 10 times. From United States's perspective the all-time record is 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2026 win (4–1) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for United States vs Paraguay?
OnThePitch's model makes Paraguay the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do United States and Paraguay play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group D. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group D matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.