Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Japan

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Japan — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Japan's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Japan plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/jpn/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

71 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Daichi KamadaPKPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)25.2%

Rank2Ayase UedaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)12.1%

Rank3Daizen MaedaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%

Rank4Kōki OgawaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.6%

Rank5Shūto MachinoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%

Rank6Takuma NishimuraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%

Rank7Mao HosoyaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.4%

Rank8Keisuke GotōPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%

Rank9Keito NakamuraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank10Taisei MiyashiroPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%

Rank11Yuki KakitaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%

Rank12Ryo GermainPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%

Rank13Taichi HaraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%

Rank14Yūki ŌhashiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%

Rank15Shin YamadaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%

Rank16Ritsu DōanPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.6%

Rank17Kento ShiogaiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%

Rank18Kaoru MitomaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%

Rank19Yuito SuzukiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%

Rank20Takefusa KuboPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.5%

Rank21Junya ItōPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank22Takumi MinaminoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank23Hayao KawabePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank24Ao TanakaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank25Henry Heroki MochizukiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank26Sho InagakiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank27Yūki SōmaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank28Joel Chima FujitaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank29Kōta TawaratsumidaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank30Ryūnosuke SatōPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank31Kodai SanoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank32Sōta NakamuraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank33Yuto OzekiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank34Zento UnoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank35Ryōya MorishitaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank36Kōki SaitōPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank37Satoshi TanakaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank38Tojiro KuboPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank39Yū HirakawaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank40Shunsuke MitoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank41Sōta KitanoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank42Wataru EndoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank43Koki KumasakaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank44Sōta KawasakiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank45Maya YoshidaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank46Hiroki ItōPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank47Takehiro TomiyasuPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank48Kaishu SanoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank49Kō ItakuraPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank50Shōgo TaniguchiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank51Yukinari SugawaraPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank52Ayumu SekoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank53Tsuyoshi WatanabePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank54Hayato ArakiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank55Daiki HashiokaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank56Junnosuke SuzukiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank57Kōta TakaiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank58Tomoya AndoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank59Taiyo KogaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank60Yuto TsunashimaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank61Kōki MachidaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank62Hiroki SekinePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank63Naomichi UedaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank64Yūto NagatomoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank65Alexandre PisanoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank66Keisuke ŌsakoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank67Kōsei TaniPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank68Leo KokuboPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank69Taishi Brandon NozawaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank70Tomoki HayakawaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank71Zion SuzukiPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.