Tournament scorers · Japan
Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0Japan — P(scores ≥1 goal)
Every player in Japan's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Japan plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/jpn/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.
71 players in the pool
#PlayerFormTeam outlook
Rank5Shūto MachinoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank6Takuma NishimuraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank7Mao HosoyaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank10Taisei MiyashiroPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank11Yuki KakitaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank12Ryo GermainPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank13Taichi HaraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank14Yūki ŌhashiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank16Shin YamadaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank18Kaoru MitomaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.8%
Rank22Takumi MinaminoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank23Hayao KawabePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank26Henry Heroki MochizukiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank27Sho InagakiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank28Yūki SōmaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank29Kōta TawaratsumidaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank30Ryūnosuke SatōPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank31Kodai SanoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank32Sōta NakamuraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank33Yuto OzekiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank34Zento UnoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank35Ryōya MorishitaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank36Kōki SaitōPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank37Satoshi TanakaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank38Tojiro KuboPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank39Yū HirakawaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank41Joel Chima FujitaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank42Shunsuke MitoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank43Sōta KitanoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank44Koki KumasakaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank45Sōta KawasakiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank52Hayato ArakiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Daiki HashiokaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Junnosuke SuzukiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Kōta TakaiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Taiyo KogaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Tomoya AndoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Yuto TsunashimaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Kōki MachidaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank61Hiroki SekinePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank62Naomichi UedaPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank65Alexandre PisanoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank67Kōsei TaniPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank68Leo KokuboPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank69Taishi Brandon NozawaPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
- Pos
- Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
- Form
- Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
- Team outlook
- Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
- P(scores ≥1)
- Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.