Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Iran

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Iran — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Iran's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Iran plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/irn/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

65 players in the pool

Rank1Mehdi TaremiPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.0%
Rank2Mehdi GhayediPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%
Rank3Shahriyar MoghanlouPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%
Rank4Amirhossein HosseinzadehPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.9%
Rank5Ali AlipourPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank6Alireza JahanbakhshPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank7Amirhossein MahmoudiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank8Allahyar SayyadmaneshPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank9Kasra TaheriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank10Majid AliyariPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank11Dennis EckertPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.4%
Rank12Ehsan MahroughiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.4%
Rank13Mohammad OmriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.4%
Rank14Pouria ShahrabadiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.4%
Rank15Saman GhoddosPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank16Saeid EzatolahiPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank17Mohammad MohebiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank18Omid NoorafkanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank19Mohammad GhorbaniPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank20Rouzbeh CheshmiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank21Mohammad KarimiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank22Mahdi TorabiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Mehdi HashemnejadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24Amirmohammad RazzaghiniaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank25Mehran AhmadiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank26Mohammad Mehdi MohebiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Mohammad Javad HosseinnejadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank28Alireza KoushkiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29Mehdi TikdariPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Mohammad KhodabandelouPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank31Ali GholizadehPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank32Aref Haji EydiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank33Hadi HabibinejadPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank34Mohammad AskariPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank35Mohammadhossein SadeghiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank36Morteza PouraliganjiPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank37Shojae KhalilzadehPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank38Milad MohammadiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Hossein KanaanizadeganPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank40Ali NematiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank41Ramin RezaeianPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank42Saleh HardaniPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank43Aria YousefiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Ehsan HajsafiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank45Amin HazbaviPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Aref AghasiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Danial EsmaeilifarPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank48Abolfazl JalaliPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Saman FallahPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Sadegh MoharramiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Mohammad NaderiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Hossein AbarghoueiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Danial EiriPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Majid HosseiniPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank55Masoud MohebiPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank56Mohammad Mehdi ZarePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank57Yaghoub BaragePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank58Ahmad GohariPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Alireza BeiranvandPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank60Hossein HosseiniPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank61Mohammad KhalifePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Mohammad Reza AkhbariPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank63Nima MirzazadPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank64Parsa JafariPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank65Payam NiazmandPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.