Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Germany

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Germany — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Germany's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Germany plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/ger/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

50 players in the pool

Rank1Niclas FüllkrugPKPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)28.6%
Rank2Leroy SanéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)20.4%
Rank3Kai HavertzPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)18.2%
Rank4Nick WoltemadePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.9%
Rank5Deniz UndavPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.6%
Rank6Jonathan BurkardtPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)13.0%
Rank7Maximilian BeierPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)12.4%
Rank8Said El MalaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%
Rank9Karim AdeyemiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank10Serge GnabryPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank11Leon GoretzkaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.1%
Rank12Kevin SchadePosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.4%
Rank13Jamal MusialaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%
Rank14Florian WirtzPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank15Joshua KimmichPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank16Chris FührichPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank17Pascal GroßPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank18Nadiem AmiriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank19Paul NebelPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank20Jamie LewelingPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank21Robert AndrichPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank22Tom BischofPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank23Lennart KarlPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24Robin GosensPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank25Angelo StillerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank26Assan OuédraogoPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank27Anton StachPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank28Aleksandar PavlovićPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank29Felix NmechaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank30Antonio RüdigerPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank31Waldemar AntonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank32Nico SchlotterbeckPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank33Jonathan TahPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank34Maximilian MittelstädtPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Nathaniel BrownPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36David RaumPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Robin KochPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Ridle BakuPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Josha VagnomanPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Yann Aurel BisseckPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Thilo KehrerPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Malick ThiawPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank43Nnamdi CollinsPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank44Alexander NübelPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Finn DahmenPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Jonas UrbigPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Manuel NeuerPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48Marc-André ter StegenPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Noah AtuboluPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank50Oliver BaumannPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-85.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.