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3 Jul 2026

아래 모든 확률은 킥오프 전에 공개되고 확정되었습니다. 이 페이지는 각 확률을 실제 결과와 비교해 채점합니다.

3경기 중 3경기 채점 완료
1
정확히 맞춤
높은 확신, 정확한 결과
0
탁월한 판단
실제 결과에 가장 높은 확률을 부여
2
예상대로
결과가 범위 안에 있었음
0
의외의 결과
모델이 예상하지 못한 결과

일별 평균: Within expectations

  • 채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    20
    • Switzerland · 실현39.0%
    • 무승부27.9%
    • Algeria33.1%
    판정
    Within expectations

    Switzerland 2–0 Algeria was the outcome the model rated most likely (39.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.560, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Switzerland
    8Johan ManzambiSTOpened the scoring for Switzerland and created the opportunity for the second goal.
    8Breel EmboloSTScored Switzerland's second goal and was a constant threat, despite being denied multiple times later.
    8Ricardo RodriguezLBDoubled Switzerland's lead with a precise strike, contributing significantly from a defensive position.
    Algeria
    8Algerian GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, particularly against Embolo, preventing a much wider margin of defeat for Algeria.
    7Farès ChaïbiAMShowcased strong dribbling ability and created multiple shooting opportunities, though he was unable to convert.
    6Houssem AouarAMDisplayed good passing vision and had a shot on target that tested the Swiss goalkeeper.
  • 채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    32
    • Argentina · 실현70.7%
    • 무승부23.9%
    • Cape Verde5.4%
    판정
    Nailed it

    Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde was the outcome the model rated most likely (70.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.146, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Argentina
    8Lisandro MartínezCBScored two vital goals, including one in extra time, to put Argentina ahead, overcoming an earlier defensive miscue.
    8Cristian RomeroCBScored the decisive winning goal in extra time with a powerful header from a corner, showcasing his aerial threat.
    7Emiliano MartínezGKMade several critical saves, particularly in extra time, to preserve Argentina's lead, despite conceding two goals.
    Cape Verde
    9VozinhaGKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous world-class saves to keep Cape Verde competitive against a relentless Argentine attack.
    8Sidny Lopes CabralCMScored a spectacular and crucial overhead kick to equalize for Cape Verde in extra time, also contributing defensively with a block.
    7Deroy DuarteCMScored a vital equalizing goal for Cape Verde, demonstrating good finishing, but also committed a late foul on Messi.
  • 채점 완료28 Jun 확정
    11
    • Australia38.6%
    • 무승부 · 실현33.3%
    • Egypt28.0%
    판정
    Within expectations

    Australia 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 33.3% (33.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.672, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Australia
    8Patrick BeachGKMade several crucial saves, including a fantastic one from Salah, keeping Australia in contention throughout regular and extra time.
    7Cristian VolpatoAMShowed good attacking intent with two shots on target, testing the goalkeeper.
    7Harry SouttarCBScored Australia's equalizer and made a vital defensive block, but his penalty miss was costly in the shootout.
    Egypt
    8Emam AshourAMScored Egypt's opening goal with a header and had another shot on target, proving a significant offensive threat.
    8Mostafa ShobeirGKMade several important saves from Australian shots, contributing significantly to Egypt's defensive effort and keeping them in the game.
    7Ramy RabiaCBMade a crucial defensive intervention and contributed to set-piece attacks.

See how the forecast holds up

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Model report card — 3 Jul 2026 · onthepitch