公开检验
3 Jul 2026
下方每个概率都在开赛前发布并锁定。本页面将每个概率与实际结果进行对比评分。
当日均值： Within expectations
Switzerland 2–0 Algeria was the outcome the model rated most likely (39.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.560, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Switzerland8Johan ManzambiSTOpened the scoring for Switzerland and created the opportunity for the second goal.8Breel EmboloSTScored Switzerland's second goal and was a constant threat, despite being denied multiple times later.8Ricardo RodriguezLBDoubled Switzerland's lead with a precise strike, contributing significantly from a defensive position.Algeria8Algerian GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, particularly against Embolo, preventing a much wider margin of defeat for Algeria.7Farès ChaïbiAMShowcased strong dribbling ability and created multiple shooting opportunities, though he was unable to convert.6Houssem AouarAMDisplayed good passing vision and had a shot on target that tested the Swiss goalkeeper.Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde was the outcome the model rated most likely (70.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.146, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Argentina8Lisandro MartínezCBScored two vital goals, including one in extra time, to put Argentina ahead, overcoming an earlier defensive miscue.8Cristian RomeroCBScored the decisive winning goal in extra time with a powerful header from a corner, showcasing his aerial threat.7Emiliano MartínezGKMade several critical saves, particularly in extra time, to preserve Argentina's lead, despite conceding two goals.Cape Verde9VozinhaGKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous world-class saves to keep Cape Verde competitive against a relentless Argentine attack.8Sidny Lopes CabralCMScored a spectacular and crucial overhead kick to equalize for Cape Verde in extra time, also contributing defensively with a block.7Deroy DuarteCMScored a vital equalizing goal for Cape Verde, demonstrating good finishing, but also committed a late foul on Messi.Australia 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 33.3% (33.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.672, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Australia8Patrick BeachGKMade several crucial saves, including a fantastic one from Salah, keeping Australia in contention throughout regular and extra time.7Cristian VolpatoAMShowed good attacking intent with two shots on target, testing the goalkeeper.7Harry SouttarCBScored Australia's equalizer and made a vital defensive block, but his penalty miss was costly in the shootout.Egypt8Emam AshourAMScored Egypt's opening goal with a header and had another shot on target, proving a significant offensive threat.8Mostafa ShobeirGKMade several important saves from Australian shots, contributing significantly to Egypt's defensive effort and keeping them in the game.7Ramy RabiaCBMade a crucial defensive intervention and contributed to set-piece attacks.
See how the forecast holds up
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