Mesuré en public
3 Jul 2026
Chaque probabilité ci-dessous a été publiée avant le coup d'envoi et verrouillée. Cette page note chacune d'elles par rapport à ce qui s'est réellement passé.
Moyenne du jour : Within expectations
- NotésVerrouillé 28 Jun2 – 0
- Switzerland · réalisé39.0%
- Match nul27.9%
- Algeria33.1%
VerdictWithin expectationsSwitzerland 2–0 Algeria was the outcome the model rated most likely (39.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.560, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Switzerland8Johan ManzambiSTOpened the scoring for Switzerland and created the opportunity for the second goal.8Breel EmboloSTScored Switzerland's second goal and was a constant threat, despite being denied multiple times later.8Ricardo RodriguezLBDoubled Switzerland's lead with a precise strike, contributing significantly from a defensive position.Algeria8Algerian GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, particularly against Embolo, preventing a much wider margin of defeat for Algeria.7Farès ChaïbiAMShowcased strong dribbling ability and created multiple shooting opportunities, though he was unable to convert.6Houssem AouarAMDisplayed good passing vision and had a shot on target that tested the Swiss goalkeeper. - NotésVerrouillé 28 Jun3 – 2
- Argentina · réalisé70.7%
- Match nul23.9%
- Cape Verde5.4%
VerdictNailed itArgentina 3–2 Cape Verde was the outcome the model rated most likely (70.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.146, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Argentina8Lisandro MartínezCBScored two vital goals, including one in extra time, to put Argentina ahead, overcoming an earlier defensive miscue.8Cristian RomeroCBScored the decisive winning goal in extra time with a powerful header from a corner, showcasing his aerial threat.7Emiliano MartínezGKMade several critical saves, particularly in extra time, to preserve Argentina's lead, despite conceding two goals.Cape Verde9VozinhaGKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous world-class saves to keep Cape Verde competitive against a relentless Argentine attack.8Sidny Lopes CabralCMScored a spectacular and crucial overhead kick to equalize for Cape Verde in extra time, also contributing defensively with a block.7Deroy DuarteCMScored a vital equalizing goal for Cape Verde, demonstrating good finishing, but also committed a late foul on Messi. - 1 – 1
- Australia38.6%
- Match nul · réalisé33.3%
- Egypt28.0%
VerdictWithin expectationsAustralia 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 33.3% (33.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.672, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.
Match ratings
Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.
Australia8Patrick BeachGKMade several crucial saves, including a fantastic one from Salah, keeping Australia in contention throughout regular and extra time.7Cristian VolpatoAMShowed good attacking intent with two shots on target, testing the goalkeeper.7Harry SouttarCBScored Australia's equalizer and made a vital defensive block, but his penalty miss was costly in the shootout.Egypt8Emam AshourAMScored Egypt's opening goal with a header and had another shot on target, proving a significant offensive threat.8Mostafa ShobeirGKMade several important saves from Australian shots, contributing significantly to Egypt's defensive effort and keeping them in the game.7Ramy RabiaCBMade a crucial defensive intervention and contributed to set-piece attacks.
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