公開の場で検証

3 Jul 2026

以下のすべての確率はキックオフ前に公開され、確定されました。このページでは、それぞれを実際の結果と照らし合わせて採点します。

3試合中3試合を採点済み
1
的中
高い確信、正しい結果
0
鋭い読み
起こった結果に最も高い確率を与えた
2
想定内
結果は予想の範囲内だった
0
予想外
モデルはこの結果を予測できなかった

日別平均: Within expectations

  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    20
    • Switzerland · 実現39.0%
    • 引き分け27.9%
    • Algeria33.1%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Switzerland 2–0 Algeria was the outcome the model rated most likely (39.0% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.560, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Switzerland
    8Johan ManzambiSTOpened the scoring for Switzerland and created the opportunity for the second goal.
    8Breel EmboloSTScored Switzerland's second goal and was a constant threat, despite being denied multiple times later.
    8Ricardo RodriguezLBDoubled Switzerland's lead with a precise strike, contributing significantly from a defensive position.
    Algeria
    8Algerian GoalkeeperGKMade numerous crucial saves, particularly against Embolo, preventing a much wider margin of defeat for Algeria.
    7Farès ChaïbiAMShowcased strong dribbling ability and created multiple shooting opportunities, though he was unable to convert.
    6Houssem AouarAMDisplayed good passing vision and had a shot on target that tested the Swiss goalkeeper.
  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    32
    • Argentina · 実現70.7%
    • 引き分け23.9%
    • Cape Verde5.4%
    判定
    Nailed it

    Argentina 3–2 Cape Verde was the outcome the model rated most likely (70.7% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.146, better than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Argentina
    8Lisandro MartínezCBScored two vital goals, including one in extra time, to put Argentina ahead, overcoming an earlier defensive miscue.
    8Cristian RomeroCBScored the decisive winning goal in extra time with a powerful header from a corner, showcasing his aerial threat.
    7Emiliano MartínezGKMade several critical saves, particularly in extra time, to preserve Argentina's lead, despite conceding two goals.
    Cape Verde
    9VozinhaGKDelivered an exceptional goalkeeping performance, making numerous world-class saves to keep Cape Verde competitive against a relentless Argentine attack.
    8Sidny Lopes CabralCMScored a spectacular and crucial overhead kick to equalize for Cape Verde in extra time, also contributing defensively with a block.
    7Deroy DuarteCMScored a vital equalizing goal for Cape Verde, demonstrating good finishing, but also committed a late foul on Messi.
  • 採点済み28 Junに確定
    11
    • Australia38.6%
    • 引き分け · 実現33.3%
    • Egypt28.0%
    判定
    Within expectations

    Australia 1–1 Egypt was an outcome the model rated at 33.3% (33.3% before kickoff). The match scores a Brier of 0.672, worse than the 0.667 no-skill mark.

    Match ratings

    Player scores from official highlights analysis. Observational, not a model input.

    Australia
    8Patrick BeachGKMade several crucial saves, including a fantastic one from Salah, keeping Australia in contention throughout regular and extra time.
    7Cristian VolpatoAMShowed good attacking intent with two shots on target, testing the goalkeeper.
    7Harry SouttarCBScored Australia's equalizer and made a vital defensive block, but his penalty miss was costly in the shootout.
    Egypt
    8Emam AshourAMScored Egypt's opening goal with a header and had another shot on target, proving a significant offensive threat.
    8Mostafa ShobeirGKMade several important saves from Australian shots, contributing significantly to Egypt's defensive effort and keeping them in the game.
    7Ramy RabiaCBMade a crucial defensive intervention and contributed to set-piece attacks.

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Model report card — 3 Jul 2026 · onthepitch