Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Senegal vs Norway

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group I·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
1
Senegal W-D-L
1-0-0
Last meeting
2006Win (21)

All-time record from Senegal's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

36.1%
Draw
27.5%
36.4%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Senegal and Norway?
Senegal and Norway have met 1 time. From Senegal's perspective the all-time record is 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2006 win (2–1) at the Friendly.
What does the model predict for Senegal vs Norway?
OnThePitch's model rates Senegal at 36% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 36% for Norway.
When do Senegal and Norway play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group I. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group I matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.