Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Senegal vs Iraq

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group I·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Senegal and Iraq have no recorded senior international meetings.

Model forecast

59.8%
Draw
27.3%
13.0%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Senegal and Iraq?
Senegal and Iraq have no recorded senior international meetings.
What does the model predict for Senegal vs Iraq?
OnThePitch's model rates Senegal at 60% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw and 13% for Iraq.
When do Senegal and Iraq play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group I. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group I matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.