Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

France vs Iraq

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group I·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

France and Iraq have no recorded senior international meetings.

Model forecast

75.3%
Draw
18.9%
5.7%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between France and Iraq?
France and Iraq have no recorded senior international meetings.
What does the model predict for France vs Iraq?
OnThePitch's model rates France at 75% to win, with a 19% chance of a draw and 6% for Iraq.
When do France and Iraq play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group I. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group I matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.