Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Mexico vs South Africa
2026 FIFA World Cup·Group A·Head-to-head
Snapshot · 2026-05-28
All-time head-to-head
- Meetings
- 4
- Mexico W-D-L
- 2-1-1
- Last meeting
- 2010 — Draw (1–1)
All-time record from Mexico's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.
Model forecast
The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →
Frequently asked
- What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Africa?
- Mexico and South Africa have met 4 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2010 draw (1–1) at the FIFA World Cup.
- What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Africa?
- OnThePitch's model rates Mexico at 59% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw and 13% for South Africa.
- When do Mexico and South Africa play at the 2026 World Cup?
- They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.