Mexico vs South Korea

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group A·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
15
Mexico W-D-L
9-2-4
Last meeting
2026 : Win (10)
All-time goals
2915
Mexico's biggest win
40 (2014)

All-time record from Mexico's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
18 Jun 2026FIFA World CupHZapopan10W
9 Sep 2025FriendlyNNashville22D
14 Nov 2020FriendlyNWiener Neustadt32W
23 Jun 2018FIFA World CupNRostov-on-Don21W1.80.8
29 Jan 2014FriendlyNSan Antonio40W
15 Feb 2006FriendlyNLos Angeles01L
27 Jan 2002Gold CupNPasadena00(pens)L
1 Jun 2001Confederations CupAUlsan12L
12 Jun 1999Korea CupASeoul11D
13 Jun 1998FIFA World CupNLyon31W
10 Aug 1989Marlboro CupNLos Angeles42W
10 Dec 1985FriendlyHGuadalajara21W
3 Dec 1985FriendlyNLos Angeles21W
11 Feb 1981FriendlyHMexico City40W
26 Feb 1980FriendlyNLos Angeles01L

Mexico vs South Korea, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Mexico's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral; xG where the upstream dataset covers the match).

Recent form

MexicoWWWWW
  • 2026-06-18 · South Korea10
  • 2026-06-11 · South Africa20
  • 2026-06-04 · Serbia51
  • 2026-05-30 · Australia10
  • 2026-05-22 · Ghana20
South KoreaLWWWL
  • 2026-06-18 · Mexico01
  • 2026-06-11 · Czech Republic21
  • 2026-06-03 · El Salvador10
  • 2026-05-30 · Trinidad and Tobago50
  • 2026-03-31 · Austria01

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

MexicoSouth Korea
#6 of 16Average match rating#2 of 18
#12 of 14Goals scored / match#2 of 18
#7 of 16Big chances#4 of 27
#1 of 16Shots on target#3 of 18
#1 of 16Possession#1 of 18
#3 of 16Passing#2 of 18
#2 of 16Goals conceded / match#3 of 18

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Mexico: Copa America 2024; South Korea: World Cup Qualification AFC 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Korea?
Mexico and South Korea have met 15 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2026 win (1–0) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Korea?
OnThePitch's model makes Mexico the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Mexico and South Korea play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group A matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.