Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Mexico vs South Korea
2026 FIFA World Cup·Group A·Head-to-head
Snapshot · 2026-05-28
All-time head-to-head
- Meetings
- 14
- Mexico W-D-L
- 8-2-4
- Last meeting
- 2025 — Draw (2–2)
All-time record from Mexico's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.
Model forecast
The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →
Frequently asked
- What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Korea?
- Mexico and South Korea have met 14 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 8 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses. Their most recent meeting was a 2025 draw (2–2) at the Friendly.
- What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Korea?
- OnThePitch's model rates Mexico at 44% to win, with a 28% chance of a draw and 28% for South Korea.
- When do Mexico and South Korea play at the 2026 World Cup?
- They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.