Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Mexico vs Czech Republic

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group A·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
1
Mexico W-D-L
0-0-1
Last meeting
2000Loss (12)

All-time record from Mexico's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Model forecast

47.3%
Draw
27.3%

The model's win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and Czech Republic?
Mexico and Czech Republic have met 1 time. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2000 loss (1–2) at the Lunar New Year Cup.
What does the model predict for Mexico vs Czech Republic?
OnThePitch's model rates Mexico at 47% to win, with a 27% chance of a draw and 25% for Czech Republic.
When do Mexico and Czech Republic play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group A matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/ win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.