Mexico vs South Africa

2026 FIFA World Cup·Group A·Head-to-head

Snapshot · 2026-07-14Model 1.0.0

Model forecast

Standard Pass for probabilities

The model publishes calibrated win, draw and win probabilities for this group-stage meeting. Full forecast — expected goals, scoreline distribution, and per-player scoring →

All-time head-to-head

Meetings
5
Mexico W-D-L
3-1-1
Last meeting
2026 : Win (20)
All-time goals
125
Mexico's biggest win
40 (1993)

All-time record from Mexico's perspective. Counts every senior international meeting (friendlies and tournaments) in the martj42 dataset; penalty-shootout outcomes resolve knockout draws.

Every meeting

DateCompetitionVenueScoreResultxG
11 Jun 2026FIFA World CupHMexico City20W
11 Jun 2010FIFA World CupAJohannesburg11D
8 Jul 2005Gold CupNCarson12L
7 Jun 2000USA CupNDallas42W
6 Oct 1993FriendlyNLos Angeles40W

Mexico vs South Africa, every senior international meeting in the martj42 results dataset (score from Mexico's perspective; H/A/N = home/away/neutral).

Recent form

MexicoWWWWW
  • 2026-06-18 · South Korea10
  • 2026-06-11 · South Africa20
  • 2026-06-04 · Serbia51
  • 2026-05-30 · Australia10
  • 2026-05-22 · Ghana20
South AfricaDLWDL
  • 2026-06-18 · Czech Republic11
  • 2026-06-11 · Mexico02
  • 2026-06-06 · Jamaica10
  • 2026-05-29 · Nicaragua00
  • 2026-03-31 · Panama12

Five most recent senior internationals (any opponent), newest first, from the martj42 dataset.

Team style comparison

MexicoSouth Africa
#12 of 14Goals scored / match#18 of 52
#7 of 16Big chances#1 of 34
#1 of 16Shots on target#2 of 52
#1 of 16Possession#6 of 51
#3 of 16Passing#2 of 51
#2 of 16Goals conceded / match#5 of 51

Each bar is the team’s rank within its own competition — Mexico: Copa America 2024; South Africa: World Cup Qualification CAF 2023/2025. A longer bar is a stronger standing; because the two competitions differ, only relative standing is comparable, not raw numbers. Style data via FotMob.

Frequently asked

What is the head-to-head record between Mexico and South Africa?
Mexico and South Africa have met 5 times. From Mexico's perspective the all-time record is 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss. Their most recent meeting was a 2026 win (2–0) at the FIFA World Cup.
What does the model predict for Mexico vs South Africa?
OnThePitch's model makes Mexico the favourite in this matchup. The exact win, draw and win probabilities, expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass on the match page.
When do Mexico and South Africa play at the 2026 World Cup?
They meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup in Group A. Venue and kick-off details appear on the match page once confirmed.

Other Group A matchups

How this is computed. Win/draw/win probabilities come from a calibrated Dixon-Coles ensemble. See methodology.