Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Quarter-final · Match 2

TBDvsTBD

Snapshot · 2026-05-28

Matchup TBD. This quarter-final · match 2 slot depends on earlier results. The model can't publish a per-fixture forecast until both teams are known. Group-stage probabilities (which teams the model expects in this slot) live on the country pages and the tournament home.

How this is computed. All goal-process outputs share one Dixon-Coles fit. See methodology.

Snapshot 2026-05-28.