Partidos

¿Y si supieras cómo podrían terminar los 104 partidos?

El modelo publica un pronóstico completo para cada partido del calendario 2026 — probabilidades de resultado, goles esperados y los marcadores más probables. cómo funciona el modelo.

  • 104 partidos
  • Goles esperados (xG) y marcadores
  • Actualizado diariamente
  • Metodología abierta

Datos al 2026-05-28

Free preview · full depthSee every stat free on Mexico vs South AfricaThe complete forecast — expected goals, scorelines, and per-player scoring — for the tournament opener, no Pass needed.View →

Three matches to watch · group stage

Closest match

Senegal vs Norway
H36.1%
D27.5%
A36.4%

Highest expected goals

Brazil vs Haiti

Expected goals with the Pass

Highest stakes

Spain vs Uruguay

Combined title chance with the Pass

Where the model and FIFA disagree: New Zealand (FIFA #86 → model #36) · Haiti (FIFA #84 → model #39) All 48 →

Win, draw, and win probabilities are free for every match. Expected goals and scorelines are part of the Standard Pass.

Thu 11 Jun

2 matches

Fri 12 Jun

2 matches

Sat 13 Jun

4 matches

Sun 14 Jun

4 matches

Mon 15 Jun

4 matches

Tue 16 Jun

4 matches

Wed 17 Jun

4 matches

Thu 18 Jun

4 matches

Fri 19 Jun

4 matches

Sat 20 Jun

4 matches

Sun 21 Jun

4 matches

Mon 22 Jun

4 matches

Tue 23 Jun

4 matches

Wed 24 Jun

6 matches

Thu 25 Jun

6 matches

Fri 26 Jun

6 matches

Sat 27 Jun

6 matches

Standard Pass

Go deeper on every match

The Standard Pass unlocks match probabilities on every calendar row, plus expected goals, scoreline distributions, win-margin and goal totals, the half-time / full-time grid, and per-player top-scorer probabilities across all 104 matches.

Get the Pass — $15

24h self-service refund·No subscription, no auto-renewal·Access through 31 Dec 2026. See refund policy.

What this is. WC matches treated as neutral-venue: Elo home advantage and DC home_advantage are zeroed. Knockout-stage rows without confirmed home/away teams ship with the stage metadata only; probability fields are null and the page renders a 'matchup TBD' header. This is research / data publication — see /docs/ for the project's framing.

Matches · onthepitch