Portugal — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Portugal's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Portugal plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/por/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

37 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Cristiano RonaldoPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)43.1%

Rank2Gonçalo RamosPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)16.4%

Rank3João FélixPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)15.5%

Rank4Rafael LeãoPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)14.6%

Rank5Francisco ConceiçãoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%

Rank6PaulinhoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%

Rank7Francisco TrincãoPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%

Rank8Pedro NetoPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%

Rank9Pedro GonçalvesPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.3%

Rank10Carlos ForbsPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%

Rank11Ricardo HortaPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%

Rank12Bruno FernandesPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%

Rank13Rodrigo MoraPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.6%

Rank14João NevesPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%

Rank15Gonçalo GuedesPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%

Rank16VitinhaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%

Rank17Nuno MendesPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank18João PalhinhaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank19Rúben NevesPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%

Rank20Bernardo SilvaPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%

Rank21Samú CostaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank22João CanceloPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank23Mateus FernandesPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank24Diogo DalotPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank25Gonçalo InácioPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank26Nélson SemedoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank27António SilvaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Nuno TavaresPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29Rúben DiasPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank30Tomás AraújoPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank31Renato VeigaPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank32Matheus NunesPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank33Diogo CostaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank34João CarvalhoPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank35José SáPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank36Ricardo VelhoPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Rui SilvaPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.