Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Uzbekistan

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Uzbekistan — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Uzbekistan's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Uzbekistan plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/uzb/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

57 players in the pool

Rank1Eldor ShomurodovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)14.1%
Rank2Abbosbek FayzullaevPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.5%
Rank3Dostonbek KhamdamovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.5%
Rank4Oston UrunovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.8%
Rank5Bobur AbdikholikovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%
Rank6Igor SergeevPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank7Ruslanbek JiyanovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.9%
Rank8Azizbek AmonovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank9Sherzod TemirovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank10Jaloliddin MasharipovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank11Rustam TurdimurodovPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%
Rank12Azizjon GanievPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank13Khojimat ErkinovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank14Otabek ShukurovPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank15Akmal MozgovoyPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank16Akmal MozgovoyPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank17Azizbek TurgunboevPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank18Abdurauf BurievPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank19Jamshid IskanderovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank20Diyor KholmatovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank21Kuvondik RuzievPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank22Odiljon HamrobekovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank23Alisher OdilovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank24Jasurbek JaloliddinovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank25Khusayin NorchaevPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank26Umarali RakhmonalievPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank27Anvar KhojimirzaevPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank28Ibrokhim IbrokhimovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank29Nodir AbdurazzakovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank30Nodirbek AbdurazzokovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank31Sardorbek BakhromovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank32Sherzod EsanovPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank33Farrukh SayfievPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34Islom TukhtakhujaevPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Sherzod NasrullaevPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank36Abdukodir KhusanovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Rustam AshurmatovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Ibrokhimkhalil YuldoshevPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Alibek DavronovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank40Dilshod SaitovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Abdulla AbdullaevPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Umar EshmurodovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43Bekhruz KarimovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Jakhongir UrozovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45Khojiakbar AlijonovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Dilshod KomilovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank47Mukhammadkodir KhamralievPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank48Avazbek UlmasalievPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank49Bekhruz KarimovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank50Diyor OrtikboevPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank51Husniddin AliqulovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank52Mukhammadrasul AbdumazhidovPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank53Abduvohid NematovPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank54Botirali ErgashevPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank55Utkir YusupovPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Vladimir NazarovPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Vladimir NazarovPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.