Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · United States

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

United States ★ — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in United States's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches United States plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/usa/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

68 players in the pool

Rank1Folarin BalogunPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)43.3%
Rank2Diego LunaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.9%
Rank3Christian PulisicPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.7%
Rank4Haji WrightPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%
Rank5Ricardo PepiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%
Rank6Brian WhitePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)10.8%
Rank7Brenden AaronsonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.2%
Rank8Alejandro ZendejasPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%
Rank9Damion DownsPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%
Rank10Brandon VázquezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank11Paxten AaronsonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank12Timothy WeahPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank13Caden ClarkPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank14Matko MiljevicPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank15Yunus MusahPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank16Griffin YowPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank17Patrick AgyemangPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%
Rank18Josh SargentPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%
Rank19Malik TillmanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank20Luca de la TorrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank21Weston McKenniePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank22Johnny CardosoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank23Jack McGlynnPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank24Giovanni ReynaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank25Sebastian BerhalterPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank26Aidan MorrisPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank27Cristian RoldanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank28Gianluca BusioPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank29Tanner TessmannPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank30Chris RichardsPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank31Timothy TillmanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank32Richard LedezmaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank33Sean ZawadzkiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank34Tyler AdamsPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank35Djordje MihailovicPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank36Emeka EneliPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank37James SandsPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank38Maximilian DietzPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank39Quinn SullivanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank40Miles RobinsonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank41Mark McKenziePosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank42Maximilian ArfstenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank43Alex FreemanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank44Sergiño DestPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank45Antonee RobinsonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank46Auston TrustyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank47Kristoffer LundPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank48Shaq MoorePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank49Walker ZimmermanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank50Nathan HarrielPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Tristan BlackmonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank52George CampbellPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank53Caleb WileyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Cameron Carter-VickersPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55DeJuan JonesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56John TolkinPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Marlon FosseyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Noahkai BanksPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Joe ScallyPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank60Tim ReamPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank61Chris BradyPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Diego KochenPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank63Jonathan KlinsmannPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank64Matt FreesePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank65Matt TurnerPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank66Patrick SchultePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank67Roman CelentanoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank68Zack SteffenPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.