Tournament scorers · United States

Snapshot · 2026-06-23Model 1.0.0

United States ★P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in United States's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches United States plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/usa/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

68 players in the pool

Rank1Folarin BalogunPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)36.1%
Rank2Diego LunaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)15.5%
Rank3Haji WrightPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)11.8%
Rank4Ricardo PepiPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)11.8%
Rank5Brian WhitePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)10.6%
Rank6Brenden AaronsonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)10.4%
Rank7Christian PulisicPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)9.9%
Rank8Alejandro ZendejasPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%
Rank9Brandon VázquezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank10Paxten AaronsonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank11Caden ClarkPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank12Matko MiljevicPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)7.3%
Rank13Griffin YowPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%
Rank14Patrick AgyemangPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%
Rank15Malik TillmanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%
Rank16Yunus MusahPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank17Josh SargentPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank18Timothy WeahPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%
Rank19Weston McKenniePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)5.1%
Rank20Damion DownsPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank21Luca de la TorrePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank22Johnny CardosoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank23Jack McGlynnPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank24Giovanni ReynaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank25Sebastian BerhalterPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.9%
Rank26Aidan MorrisPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank27Cristian RoldanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%
Rank28Gianluca BusioPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank29Tanner TessmannPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank30Timothy TillmanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank31Richard LedezmaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank32Tyler AdamsPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank33Sean ZawadzkiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank34Djordje MihailovicPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank35Emeka EneliPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank36Maximilian DietzPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank37Quinn SullivanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank38Miles RobinsonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank39Chris RichardsPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank40Joe ScallyPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank41James SandsPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank42Maximilian ArfstenPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank43Alex FreemanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank44Sergiño DestPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank45John TolkinPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank46Auston TrustyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank47Kristoffer LundPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank48Shaq MoorePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank49Walker ZimmermanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank50Nathan HarrielPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Mark McKenziePosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank52Marlon FosseyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank53Tristan BlackmonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54George CampbellPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Antonee RobinsonPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Caleb WileyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Cameron Carter-VickersPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58DeJuan JonesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Noahkai BanksPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Tim ReamPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank61Chris BradyPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Diego KochenPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank63Jonathan KlinsmannPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank64Matt FreesePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank65Matt TurnerPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank66Patrick SchultePosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank67Roman CelentanoPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank68Zack SteffenPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.2 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.