Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Turkey

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Turkey — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Turkey's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Turkey plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/tur/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

49 players in the pool

Rank1Hakan ÇalhanoğluPKPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)26.5%
Rank2Arda GülerPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.7%
Rank3Kenan YıldızPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.1%
Rank4Kerem AktürkoğluPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.1%
Rank5Barış Alper YılmazPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)14.9%
Rank6Can UzunPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)12.5%
Rank7İrfan Can KahveciPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)12.2%
Rank8Yunus AkgünPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%
Rank9Oğuz AydınPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.7%
Rank10Deniz GülPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%
Rank11Semih KılıçsoyPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%
Rank12Yusuf SarıPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%
Rank13Aral ŞimşirPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank14Mustafa HekimoğluPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank15Ahmed KutucuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.2%
Rank16Orkun KökçüPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%
Rank17İsmail YüksekPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank18Okay YokuşluPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank19Salih ÖzcanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank20Demir Ege TıknazPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank21Barış KalaycıPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank22Baran GezekPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank23Eyüp AydınPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank24İsak VuralPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank25Atakan KarazorPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank26Kaan AyhanPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank27Zeki ÇelikPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank28Abdülkerim BardakcıPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank29Merih DemiralPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank30Ferdi KadıoğluPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank31Ozan KabakPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank32Samet AkaydinPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank33Eren ElmalıPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34Mert MüldürPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank35Mustafa EskihellaçPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank36Yusuf AkçiçekPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank37Emirhan TopçuPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank38Yasin ÖzcanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank39Ahmetcan KaplanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Ayberk KarapoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Hamza GürelerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Yiğit DemirPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Çağlar SöyüncüPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Altay BayındırPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank45Berke ÖzerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank46Ersin DestanoğluPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank47Mert GünokPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank48Muhammed ŞengezerPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank49Uğurcan ÇakırPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.