Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Tunisia

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Tunisia — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Tunisia's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Tunisia plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/tun/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

62 players in the pool

Rank1Seifeddine JaziriPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)16.0%
Rank2Elias AchouriPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)13.3%
Rank3Issam JebaliPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.7%
Rank4Amor LayouniPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%
Rank5Elias SaadPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)10.5%
Rank6Firas ChaouatPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)10.5%
Rank7Sayfallah LtaiefPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%
Rank8Hazem MastouriPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.6%
Rank9Dylan BronnPKPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.7%
Rank10Sebastian TounektiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.4%
Rank11Naïm SlitiPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank12Rayan ElloumiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout4.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank13Hamza KhadhraouiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank14Khalil AyariPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank15Louey Ben FarhatPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank16Rayan ElloumiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank17Rayane AnanePosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank18Youssef SnanaPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.0%
Rank19Anisse SaidiPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank20Nacim DendaniPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank21Omar Ben AliPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank22Ali AbdiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.2%
Rank23Mohamed Ali Ben RomdhanePosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%
Rank24Aïssa LaïdouniPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank25Ferjani SassiPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.4%
Rank26Mortadha Ben OuanesPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank27Firas Ben LarbiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank28Hannibal MejbriPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank29Ismaël GharbiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank30Anis Ben SlimanePosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank31Ellyes SkhiriPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank32Hadj MahmoudPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank33Houssem TkaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank34Chiheb JebaliPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank35Moez Hadj AliPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank36Yassine MeriahPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank37Rani KhediraPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Mohamed Amine Ben HamidaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Nader GhandriPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank40Yan ValeryPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank41Hamza JelassiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Alaa GhramPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Mohamed Ben AliPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Montassar TalbiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank45Moutaz NeffatiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Oussama HaddadiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Omar RekikPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank48Ali MaâloulPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank49Amin CherniPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank50Mahmoud GhorbelPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Adem ArousPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Ghaith ZaalouniPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Marouane SahraouiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Houssem Hassen RomdhanePosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank55Raed ChikhaouiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank56Abdessalem HallaouiPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Aymen DahmenPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank58Bechir Ben SaïdPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Mouhib ChamakhPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank60Noureddine FarhatiPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank61Sabri Ben HessenPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank62Sami HelalPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.