Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Senegal

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Senegal — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Senegal's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Senegal plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/sen/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

42 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Boulaye DiaPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)22.7%

Rank2Bamba DiengPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)21.8%

Rank3Nicolas JacksonPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)16.2%

Rank4Sadio ManéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)14.1%

Rank5Ismaïla SarrPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)12.5%

Rank6Idrissa GueyePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)10.7%

Rank7Abdallah SimaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%

Rank8Iliman NdiayePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank9Cherif NdiayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.8%

Rank10Habib DialloPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%

Rank11Cheikh SabalyPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank12Ibrahim MbayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%

Rank13Assane DiaoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%

Rank14Mamadou DiakhonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank15Ousmane SowPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%

Rank16Pathé CissPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank17Pape GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%

Rank18Lamine CamaraPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank19Pape Matar SarrPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank20Habib DiarraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank21Rassoul NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank22Idrissa GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank23Mamadou CamaraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank24Ismail JakobsPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank25Bara Sapoko NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank26Ousseynou NiangPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank27Abdoulaye SeckPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank28Krépin DiattaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank29Nampalys MendyPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank30Antoine MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank31Moussa NiakhatéPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank32El Hadji Malick DioufPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank33Cheikh NiassePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank34Kalidou KoulibalyPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank35Mamadou SarrPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank36Ilay CamaraPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank37Nobel MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38Moustapha MbowPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank39Abdou DialloPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank40Édouard MendyPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Mory DiawPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Yehvann DioufPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.