Senegal — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Senegal's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Senegal plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/sen/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

42 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Bamba DiengPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)21.0%

Rank2Boulaye DiaPKPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)20.1%

Rank3Nicolas JacksonPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)19.7%

Rank4Sadio ManéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)13.5%

Rank5Ismaïla SarrPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%

Rank6Idrissa GueyePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%

Rank7Abdallah SimaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank8Habib DialloPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%

Rank9Cherif NdiayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank10Ibrahim MbayePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%

Rank11Cheikh SabalyPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)6.3%

Rank12Iliman NdiayePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.5%

Rank13Assane DiaoPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%

Rank14Mamadou DiakhonPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank15Ousmane SowPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)3.9%

Rank16Idrissa GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%

Rank17Pape GueyePosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank18Pathé CissPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank19Lamine CamaraPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank20Pape Matar SarrPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank21Habib DiarraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank22Mamadou CamaraPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank23Rassoul NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Ismail JakobsPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank25Bara Sapoko NdiayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank26Ousseynou NiangPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank27Kalidou KoulibalyPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank28Abdoulaye SeckPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank29Krépin DiattaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank30Nampalys MendyPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank31Antoine MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank32El Hadji Malick DioufPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank33Cheikh NiassePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank34Mamadou SarrPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank35Ilay CamaraPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank36Nobel MendyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank37Moustapha MbowPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank38Moussa NiakhatéPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank39Abdou DialloPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank40Édouard MendyPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank41Mory DiawPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42Yehvann DioufPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.