Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Qatar

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Qatar — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Qatar's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Qatar plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/qat/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

60 players in the pool

Rank1Akram AfifPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.6%
Rank2Almoez AliPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.6%
Rank3Ismaeel MohammadPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.6%
Rank4Mohammed MuntariPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.6%
Rank5Sebastián SoriaPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)16.6%
Rank6Hassan Al-HaydosPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)15.5%
Rank7Edmilson JuniorPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)11.8%
Rank8Ahmed Al-GanehiPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%
Rank9Ahmed AlaaeldinPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)10.8%
Rank10Ahmed Al-RawiPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.4%
Rank11Mohamed GoudaPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank12Yusuf AbdurisagPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank13Mubarak ShananPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.8%
Rank14Mohamed Khaled GoudaPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank15Mubarak Shanan HamzaPosFWFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%
Rank16Abdulaziz HatemPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank17Ahmed FathyPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank18Assim MadiboPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank19Ibrahim Al-HassanPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank20Jassem GaberPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank21Karim BoudiafPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank22Mohammed WaadPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank23Mostafa MeshaalPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%
Rank24Mohamed Al-MannaiPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank25Abdelrahman MoustafaPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank26Khaled MohammedPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank27Guilherme TorresPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank28Khalid Ali SabahPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank29Tahsin JamshidPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank30GuilhermePosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank31Anas AbwenyPosMFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank32Al-Mahdi Ali MukhtarPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank33Bassam Al-RawiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank34Boualem KhoukhiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank35Homam AhmedPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank36Lucas MendesPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank37Pedro MiguelPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank38Tarek SalmanPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank39Sultan Al-BrakePosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank40Ahmed SuhailPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank41Hazem ShehataPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank42Yousef AymenPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank43Abdullah YousefPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Al-Hashmi Al-HussainPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank45Abdullah Al-YazidiPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank46Amro SuragPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank47Ayoub Al-OuiPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank48Issa LayePosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank49Mohammed AyashPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Eisa PalangiPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Marwan SherifPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Nabil IrfanPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank53Niall MasonPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank54Rayyan Al-AliPosDFFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank55Mahmud AbunadaPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Marwan BadreldinPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Meshaal BarshamPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank58Saad Al-SheebPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Salah ZakariaPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank60Shehab EllethyPosGKFormTeam outlookLong shot3.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.