Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Morocco

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Morocco — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Morocco's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Morocco plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/mar/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

76 players in the pool

Rank1Sofyan AmrabatPKPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)27.0%
Rank2Youssef En-NesyriPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)19.3%
Rank3Brahim DíazPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)15.2%
Rank4Ayoub El KaabiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)14.4%
Rank5Abde EzzalzouliPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.2%
Rank6Eliesse Ben SeghirPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.9%
Rank7Soufiane RahimiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.6%
Rank8Tarik TissoudaliPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.5%
Rank9Amine AdliPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)10.7%
Rank10Achraf BencharkiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank11Walid AzaroPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.5%
Rank12Ilias AkhomachPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%
Rank13Karim El BerkaouiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.9%
Rank14Maroan SannadiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.5%
Rank15Sofiane DiopPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%
Rank16Chemsdine TalbiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%
Rank17Abderrazak HamdallahPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.7%
Rank18Gessime YassinePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank19Osame SahraouiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.0%
Rank20Ayoube AmaimouniPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank21Hamza HannouriPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank22Hamza IgamanePosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank23Yassir ZabiriPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank24Youssef MehriPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)5.4%
Rank25Azzedine OunahiPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank26Oussama TannanePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank27Mounir ChouiarPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%
Rank28Walid El KartiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank29Bilal El KhannoussPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%
Rank30Ismael SaibariPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank31Achraf HakimiPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%
Rank32Neil El AynaouiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank33Sabir BougrinePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank34Oussama TarghallinePosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank35Mohamed Rabie HrimatPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank36Amin ZahzouhPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank37Aschraf El MahdiouiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank38Amir RichardsonPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank39Samir El MourabetPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank40Ayyoub BouaddiPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank41Oussama El AzzouziPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank42Rayane BounidaPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank43Nayef AguerdPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank44Jawad El YamiqPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank45Romain SaïssPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank46Hamza El MoussaouiPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank47Mohamed ChibiPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank48Anass Salah-EddinePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank49Marwane SaâdanePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank50Mohamed BoulacsoutePosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank51Anas BachPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank52Soufiane BouftiniPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank53Achraf DariPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank54Mahmoud BentaygPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank55Marouane LouadniPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Noussair MazraouiPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Chadi RiadPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Mohamed MoufidPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Abdel AbqarPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Souffian El KarouaniPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank61Zakaria El OuahdiPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank62Abdelhamid Aït BoudlalPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank63Omar El HilaliPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank64Redouane HalhalPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank65Abdelhak AssalPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank66Ismaël BaoufPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank67Youssef BelammariPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank68Issa DiopPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank69Adam MasinaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank70Ahmed Reda TagnaoutiPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank71El Mehdi Al HarrarPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank72Mehdi BenabidPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank73Munir MohamediPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank74Rachid GhanimiPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank75Salaheddine ChihabPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank76Yassine BounouPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-84.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.