Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Saudi Arabia

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Saudi Arabia — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Saudi Arabia's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Saudi Arabia plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/ksa/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

61 players in the pool

Rank1Abdullah Al-HamdanPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%
Rank2Firas Al-BuraikanPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%
Rank3Saleh Al-ShehriPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)12.3%
Rank4Khalid Al-GhannamPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.5%
Rank5Abdullah Al-SalemPosFWFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%
Rank6Abdullah Al-KhaibariPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank7Mohamed KannoPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank8Nasser Al-DawsariPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank9Salem Al-DawsariPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank10Musab Al-JuwayrPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)2.1%
Rank11Ayman YahyaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank12Abdulrahman Al-AboudPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank13Faisal Al-GhamdiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%
Rank14Marwan Al-SahafiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank15Mukhtar AliPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank16Turki Al-AmmarPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank17Ziyad Al-JohaniPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank18Saleh Abu Al-ShamatPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank19Ali Al-HassanPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank20Ali Al-AsmariPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank21Naif MasoudPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank22Salman Al-FarajPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank23Sultan MandashPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%
Rank24Mohammed Al-MajhadPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank25Murad HawsawiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank26Abdulaziz Al-AliwaPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank27Hammam Al-HammamiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank28Muhannad Al-SaadPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank29Alaa Al-HejjiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank30Mohammed Al-YamiPosMFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank31Hassan Al-TambaktiPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank32Saud AbdulhamidPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank33Abdulelah Al-AmriPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank34Nawaf BoushalPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank35Abdullah MaduPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36Ali MajrashiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Ali LajamiPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Hassan KadeshPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank39Moteb Al-HarbiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Jehad ThakriPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank41Mohammed SulaimanPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank42Muhannad Al-ShanqeetiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank43Rayan HamedPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank44Saad Al-NasserPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank45Mohammed Abu Al-ShamatPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Saad Al-MousaPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Khalifah Al-DawsariPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Mohammed MahzariPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Zakaria HawsawiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Muteb Al-MufarrijPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank51Salem Al-NajdiPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank52Waleed Al-AhmedPosDFFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%
Rank53Abdulquddus AtiahPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank54Abdulrahman Al-SanbiPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank55Ahmed Al-KassarPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Hamed Al-ShanqitiPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank57Mohammed Al-OwaisPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank58Mohammed Al-RubaiePosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank59Nawaf Al-AqidiPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank60Osama Al-MermeshPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank61Raghed Al-NajjarPosGKFormTeam outlookKnockout3.4 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
How to read this table4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.