Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · South Korea

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

South Korea — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in South Korea's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches South Korea plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/kor/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

56 players in the pool

Rank1Son Heung-minPKPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)42.0%
Rank2Oh Hyeon-gyuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)12.0%
Rank3Joo Min-kyuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)10.3%
Rank4Oh Se-hunPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.8%
Rank5Cho Gue-sungPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)9.2%
Rank6Lee Kang-inPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank7Lee Ho-jaePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank8Hwang Hee-chanPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank9Kim Jin-gyuPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank10Moon Seon-minPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.7%
Rank11Hong Hyun-seokPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)2.3%
Rank12Won Du-jaePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%
Rank13Bae Jun-hoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%
Rank14Paik Seung-hoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank15Lee Dong-gyeongPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%
Rank16Eom Ji-sungPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank17Yang Hyun-junPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%
Rank18Seo Min-wooPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank19Kang Sang-yoonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank20Lee Jae-sungPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank21Jeong Seung-wonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank22Kim Bong-sooPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank23Kwon Hyeok-kyuPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank24Lee Seung-wonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank25Mo Jae-hyeonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank26Yang Min-hyeokPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank27Jeon Jin-wooPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank28Na Sang-hoPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank29Hwang In-beomPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank30Park Yong-wooPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%
Rank31Seol Young-wooPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank32Cho Yu-minPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank33Lee Tae-seokPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank34Park Jin-seobPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%
Rank35Kim Min-jaePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank36Lee Myung-jaePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank37Kim Tae-hyeonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank38Kim Moon-hwanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank39Lee Han-beomPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank40Park Seung-wookPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank41Kim Ju-sungPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank42Jens CastropPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank43Kwon Kyung-wonPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank44Jeong Sang-binPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank45Byeon Jun-sooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank46Cho Hyun-taekPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank47Choi JunPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank48Kim Tae-hyunPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank49Lee Ki-hyukPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank50Seo Myung-gwanPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank51Kim Ji-sooPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%
Rank52Jo Hyeon-wooPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank53Kim Dong-heonPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank54Kim Seung-gyuPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank55Lee Chang-geunPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank56Song Bum-keunPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.3 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
Pos
Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form
Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook
Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1)
Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.

How this is computed. v0 of the per-player tournament-scorer model. npxG/90 from each player's most recent ≥500-minute Big-5 season; E[minutes] is a two-state mixture of starter (75 min) and substitute (20 min) weighted by caps relative to the team's last-2-year fixture count; team_xG_share is position-weighted within a notional 4-3-3 (FW 4× / MF 2× / DF 1× / GK 0); opp_def_factor is the team-average xG-against multiplier across the other 47 WC nations; E[matches] is the team's expected number of WC matches from the bracket Monte Carlo. Known v0 simplifications: no penalty-taker designation, no set-piece-taker bonus, no fatigue / rotation, constant within-position xG share. See /docs/methodology/ for the full write-up.