France — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in France's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches France plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/fra/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

40 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Marcus ThuramPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)40.5%

Rank2Kylian MbappéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)23.9%

Rank3Bradley BarcolaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)19.8%

Rank4Michael OlisePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)15.3%

Rank5Ousmane DembéléPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)14.3%

Rank6Désiré DouéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)11.2%

Rank7Jean-Philippe MatetaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.3%

Rank8Christopher NkunkuPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)9.0%

Rank9Hugo EkitikePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)8.8%

Rank10Kingsley ComanPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%

Rank11Florian ThauvinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)7.0%

Rank12Maghnes AkliouchePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%

Rank13Randal Kolo MuaniPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)5.7%

Rank14Rayan CherkiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank15Adrien RabiotPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.8%

Rank16Aurélien TchouaméniPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank17N'Golo KantéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank18Manu KonéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank19Eduardo CamavingaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank20Mattéo GuendouziPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank21Warren Zaïre-EmeryPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%

Rank22Khéphren ThuramPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank23Théo HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank24Jules KoundéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank25Maxence LacroixPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank26Pierre KaluluPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank27Lucas DignePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Malo GustoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29Ibrahima KonatéPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank30Loïc BadéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank31Lucas HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Benjamin PavardPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33William SalibaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank34Dayot UpamecanoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank35Clément LengletPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank36Alphonse AreolaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Brice SambaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Lucas ChevalierPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Mike MaignanPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Robin RisserPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.5 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.