Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · France

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

France — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in France's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches France plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/fra/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

40 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Marcus ThuramPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)38.9%

Rank2Ousmane DembéléPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)27.9%

Rank3Bradley BarcolaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)20.5%

Rank4Randal Kolo MuaniPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)15.9%

Rank5Michael OlisePosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)13.3%

Rank6Christopher NkunkuPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%

Rank7Hugo EkitikePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.0%

Rank8Kylian MbappéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.1%

Rank9Jean-Philippe MatetaPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.7%

Rank10Désiré DouéPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.0%

Rank11Kingsley ComanPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank12Maghnes AkliouchePosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.2%

Rank13Florian ThauvinPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.4%

Rank14Rayan CherkiPosFWFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank15Adrien RabiotPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.3%

Rank16N'Golo KantéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank17Manu KonéPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank18Eduardo CamavingaPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.4%

Rank19Aurélien TchouaméniPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank20Khéphren ThuramPosMFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank21Théo HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank22Jules KoundéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank23Mattéo GuendouziPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank24Warren Zaïre-EmeryPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank25Malo GustoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank26Ibrahima KonatéPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank27Maxence LacroixPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank28Pierre KaluluPosDFFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank29William SalibaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank30Clément LengletPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank31Lucas DignePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank32Benjamin PavardPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank33Dayot UpamecanoPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank34Loïc BadéPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank35Lucas HernandezPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank36Alphonse AreolaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank37Brice SambaPosGKFormSteadyTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank38Lucas ChevalierPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank39Mike MaignanPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank40Robin RisserPosGKFormTeam outlookTop-45.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.