Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.

Tournament scorers · Spain

Snapshot · 2026-05-29

Spain — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Spain's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Spain plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/esp/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

44 players in the pool

#PlayerPosFormTeam outlookP(scores ≥1)

Rank1Mikel OyarzabalPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)46.0%

Rank2Ferran TorresPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)30.9%

Rank3Lamine YamalPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)21.7%

Rank4Álvaro MorataPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)18.0%

Rank5Borja IglesiasPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.4%

Rank6Nico WilliamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)13.3%

Rank7Yéremy PinoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.4%

Rank8Álex BaenaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)11.3%

Rank9Mikel MerinoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%

Rank10Dani OlmoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)9.2%

Rank11Víctor MuñozPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)8.5%

Rank12Jesús RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.8%

Rank13Samu AghehowaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)7.1%

Rank14RodriPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank15Jorge de FrutosPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.5%

Rank16Fermín LópezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)6.1%

Rank17Ander BarrenetxeaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)4.8%

Rank18IscoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank19Martín ZubimendiPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.1%

Rank20Fabián RuizPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank21PedriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.5%

Rank22Carlos SolerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)2.0%

Rank23Aymeric LaportePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank24Pablo BarriosPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank25Pablo FornalsPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank26Aleix GarcíaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank27Marc CucurellaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank28Álex GrimaldoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank29GaviPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.2%

Rank30Pedro PorroPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%

Rank31Eric GarcíaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank32Dani VivianPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank33Robin Le NormandPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Óscar MinguezaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank35Marcos LlorentePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank36Dean HuijsenPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank37Marc PubillPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank38Pau CubarsíPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank39Dani CarvajalPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.2%

Rank40Cristhian MosqueraPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank41Álex RemiroPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42David RayaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank43Joan GarciaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44Unai SimónPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.9 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.

Full definitions in the glossary.