Spain — P(scores ≥1 goal)

Every player in Spain's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Spain plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/esp/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.

44 players in the pool

#PlayerFormTeam outlook

Rank1Mikel OyarzabalPKPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)48.0%

Rank2Ferran TorresPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)27.8%

Rank3Lamine YamalPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)25.3%

Rank4Álvaro MorataPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)18.1%

Rank5Nico WilliamsPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)13.8%

Rank6Yéremy PinoPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)11.2%

Rank7Borja IglesiasPosFWFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.9%

Rank8Mikel MerinoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)10.2%

Rank9Jorge de FrutosPosFWFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)9.6%

Rank10Dani OlmoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.9%

Rank11Víctor MuñozPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)8.3%

Rank12Jesús RodríguezPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)7.6%

Rank13Álex BaenaPosFWFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank14Samu AghehowaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.9%

Rank15Fermín LópezPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%

Rank16Ander BarrenetxeaPosFWFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.7%

Rank17RodriPosMFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)4.0%

Rank18IscoPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.3%

Rank19PedriPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)3.0%

Rank20Fabián RuizPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.9%

Rank21Martín ZubimendiPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.6%

Rank22Pablo FornalsPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%

Rank23Álex GrimaldoPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.8%

Rank24Carlos SolerPosMFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank25Aleix GarcíaPosMFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.7%

Rank26Eric GarcíaPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.6%

Rank27Pablo BarriosPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%

Rank28GaviPosMFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)1.3%

Rank29Marc CucurellaPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank30Aymeric LaportePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%

Rank31Dean HuijsenPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.8%

Rank32Pedro PorroPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.7%

Rank33Marcos LlorentePosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%

Rank34Dani VivianPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank35Robin Le NormandPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.5%

Rank36Dani CarvajalPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%

Rank37Marc PubillPosDFFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank38Óscar MinguezaPosDFFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank39Pau CubarsíPosDFFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%

Rank40Cristhian MosqueraPosDFFormSteadyTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.1%

Rank41Álex RemiroPosGKFormTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank42David RayaPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank43Joan GarciaPosGKFormCoolingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

Rank44Unai SimónPosGKFormRisingTeam outlookFinal5.6 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%

▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained

Pos: Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
Form: Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
Team outlook: Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
P(scores ≥1): Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.