Pre-match projection. Probabilities are frozen approximately 6 hours before kickoff to provide a stable pre-match reference.
Tournament scorers · Canada
Snapshot · 2026-05-29Canada ★ — P(scores ≥1 goal)
Every player in Canada's current call-up pool, ranked by the model's probability that they score at least one goal across the matches Canada plays at the 2026 World Cup. See /scorers/ for the global top 50 and /countries/can/ for the predicted squad and probable XI.
78 players in the pool
Rank2Lucas CavalliniPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)20.2%
Rank7Theo BairPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)7.7%
Rank9Stephen AfrifaPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.6%
Rank10Charles-Andreas BrymPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank11Kwasi PokuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)6.2%
Rank12Aribim PepplePosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank13Deandre KerrPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank14Dieu-Merci MichelPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank15Gabriele BiancheriPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank16Kimani Stewart-BaynesPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank17Marius AiyeneroPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank18Santiago LópezPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank19Theo CorbeanuPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank20Tiago CoimbraPosFWFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)5.9%
Rank21Mark-Anthony KayePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)3.7%
Rank29Junior HoilettPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)2.2%
Rank31Jayden NelsonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.5%
Rank32Marcelo FloresPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank33Samuel PiettePosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank34Harry PatonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank35Victor LoturiPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.1%
Rank36Jeevan BadwalPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank37Justin SmithPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank38Kosi ThompsonPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank39Malik HenryPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank40Nathan SalibaPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank41Shola JimohPosMFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)1.0%
Rank43Alistair Johnston TRPPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.9%
Rank47Scott KennedyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.6%
Rank50Kamal MillerPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank52Zachary Brault-GuillardPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank53Raheem EdwardsPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.4%
Rank55Jamie Knight-LebelPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank56Sam AdekugbePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank57Dominick ZatorPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank58Jahkeele Marshall-RuttyPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank59Kyle HiebertPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank60Alfie JonesPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank61Jovan IvanisevicPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank62Lazar StefanovicPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank63Luca PetrassoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank64Matteo de BriennePosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank65Moïse Bombito TRPPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank66Noah AbatnehPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank67Ralph PrisoPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank69Zac McGrawPosDFFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.3%
Rank71Grégoire ŚwiderskiPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank72James PantemisPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank73Jayden HibbertPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank74Jonathan SiroisPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank75Luka GavranPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
Rank78Tom McGillPosGKFormTeam outlookR164.7 mpP(scores ≥1)0.0%
▸How to read this table— 4 columns explained
- Pos
- Broad position bucket — GK / DF / MF / FW.
- Form
- Current-form momentum: the player's most recent full club season vs their own multi-season baseline (Rising / Steady / Cooling). Big-5 club data only, so it's blank for players without recent top-five-league history.
- Team outlook
- Contender tier — the deepest bracket stage the player's team has at least a 25% chance to reach — plus the team's expected number of WC matches. Drives the per-player total: a player on a deeper-running team gets more shots at scoring.
- P(scores ≥1)
- Total probability the player scores at least one goal across their team's WC matches. Derived from npxG/90, expected minutes, team xG share, opponent defence, and the team's expected match count.
Full definitions in the glossary.